cFIREsim
Stress-test retirement spending against long-run market history.
cFIREsim is a web-based retirement simulator for testing withdrawal plans against historical market and inflation data. Users can model portfolio size, spending rules, asset allocation, Social Security or pension income, glide paths, and other cash-flow adjustments to estimate how often a plan would have lasted.
Why it stands out
- Built specifically around FIRE-style withdrawal testing rather than general budgeting.
- Includes several advanced spending rules that many simple retirement calculators omit.
- Lets users add detailed cash-flow adjustments such as pensions, Social Security, freezes, and recurring expenses.
- Supports allocation glide paths and fee assumptions, making sequence-of-returns testing more flexible.
- Shows current data freshness and a large public count of simulations run.
Good to know
- The site explicitly frames results as educational, not personalized financial advice.
- Historical simulations can show how a plan would have handled past markets, but they do not predict future returns.
- More advanced modeling such as tax-aware projections, real estate, ACA optimization, and Roth conversions is presented as part of the separate FIREproof product.
- Enabling investigation options may increase simulation time.
Under the radar: Use separate simulation tabs to keep a baseline plan open while changing only one variable at a time, such as withdrawal method or equity allocation, so the output differences are easier to interpret.
Photos

FIRE planners and early retirees can test whether a withdrawal plan survives past market sequences. Compare inflation-adjusted, percentage-based, VPW, CAPE, and Guyton-Klinger withdrawal approaches. Model Social Security, pensions, one-off income, or recurring expenses alongside portfolio withdrawals. Check how allocation changes, fees, annual rebalancing, or a glide path affect retirement durability. Estimate the maximum starting spend for a target success rate.
Historical and custom-date simulations; constant-growth and single-start-year modes; multiple spending-plan options; CPI or flat-rate inflation assumptions; stock, bond, gold, and cash allocation controls; annual rebalancing and glide-path settings; Social Security, pension, income, and expense adjustments; investigation tools for spending targets and success rates; multiple simulation tabs for side-by-side scenarios.
Alternative listings
Tests retirement plans against every historical market start since 1871.
Money & Personal Finance ResourcesFIRECalc is a web-based retirement calculator focused on portfolio survival rather than average expected returns. It runs a retirement plan through historical U.S. market periods from 1871 onward, showing how often the plan would have avoided depletion under past conditions.
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Similar sites elsewhere
- FIRECalc — firecalc.com
- FI Calc — ficalc.app
- Portfolio Visualizer — portfoliovisualizer.com
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